New poll reveals landslide victory unlikely for Labour
By James Smith
18th Jun 2024 | Local News
Results of an exclusive Nub News Readers' poll reveal that Labour's anticipated dominance in the upcoming general election might not be as comprehensive as expected.
With warnings to Sir Kier Starmer of complacency, 29% of subscribers in our towns across the country said they currently plan to vote for a Labour candidate come July 4.
This figure starkly contrasts with the 42% vote share predicted for Labour by other sources, painting a picture of a much tighter and uncertain race.
However, the lower numbers Labour will still be little consolation to Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives who sit second in the poll with just 20% of the votes - which would be less than half the amount they received in the 2019 election.
The Tories only narrowly edged out Nigel Farage's Reform and Sir Ed Davey's Liberal Democrats who each had 19% of the vote share, taking the votes from Labour.
Specifically in Kenilworth and Southam, the results were very similar to the national picture, with Labour leading the race.
But our poll shows the Kenilworth and Southam constituency is shaping up to be a close four-way tussle, with Labour's Cat Price (24%) narrowly trailed by Sir Jeremy Wright (23%) who is looking to be re-elected for the Conservatives, having been the town's MP since 2004.
The Liberal Democrats' Jenny Wilkinson took 21% while Reform UK's Jacqui Harris received 19% of the votes.
Kenilworth and Southam poll results in full:
- Cat Price (Labour Party) - 24.03%
- Sir Jeremy Wright (Conservative Party) - 23.11%
- Jenny Wilkinson (Liberal Democrats) - 20.82%
- Jacqui Harris (Reform UK) - 18.99%
- Alix Dearing (Green Party) - 8.24%
- Nick Blunderbuss Green (Official Monster Raving Loony Party) - 4.12%
- Paul De'ath - (UKIP) - 0.69%
Nub News polled 3,000 newsletter subscribers between 12.30pm on Wednesday 12 June and midnight on Thursday 13 June. Readers were only able to register a single vote for a local candidate. In Kenilworth 437 subscribers were polled. Results were not weighted demographically.
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